On Thursday night, the National League Championship Series will begin at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Philadelphia Phillies with Derrick Lowe throwing for the Dodgers and Cole Hamels starting for the Phillies. Both of these teams are very hot right now. However, here the advantages each team has.
Catcher: The Phillies catching duo of Chris Coste and Carlos Ruiz is dependable both
behind the plate and in the batter's box. However, Los Angeles Dodgers catcher Russell Martin is a budding superstar. He is excellent behind the plate, a very good base runner, and a very good hitter. In the postseason, this has shown. Martin is hitting .308 with a .357 OBP, a .769 SLG, 1 home run, and 5 RBIs. Meanwhile, Ruiz is hitting .071 with a .133 OBP, a .071 SLG, 0 homers, and 0 RBIs. Coste has yet to get an at-bat this postseason for Philadelphia.
EDGE: Dodgers
First Base: Both these teams trot out very different players to this position every game. Ryan Howard (.251, 48, 146, .339, .543) of the Phillies is a pure power hitter, bringing along a subpar glove on defense. For the Dodgers, James Loney (.280, 13, 80, .338, .434) delivers little power, but he is a good average hitter and is a very good defensive player. Loney has struggled this postseason after hitting just .214 with a .500 SLG, 0 home runs and 1 RBI. Howard has also struggled this postseason after an unbelievably hot September, as he is hitting just .182 with a .438 OBP, a .273 SLG, o home runs, and 1 RBI. Still, Howard is the much more dangerous hitter and the Dodgers pitchers will certainly be pitching around him this series.
EDGE: Phillies
Second Base: Jeff Kent (.280, 12, 59 .327, .418), the Dodgers second baseman,
was once a great player, but now his best days are behind him. The Phillies second baseman Chase Utley (.292, 33, 104, .380, .535), the reigning NL MVP, had another excellent season this year. Kent has just one postseason at-bat thus far, and is o for 1. Utley has also struggled, hitting .133 with a .235 OBP, a .200 SLG, o home runs, and 2 RBIs. However, like Howard, he is a very dangerous hitter and the Dodger pitchers will likely pitch around him most of the series. If both Utley and Howard get hot, this series will take a huge turn in favor of the Phils.
EDGE: Phillies
Third Base: Neither team sports a lineup changing third baseman. However, Casey Blake (.274, 21, 81, .345, .463) of Los Angeles had a much better season than Philadelphia's Pedro Feliz (.249, 14, 58, .302, .402). This has continued into the playoffs. Feliz is hitting just .233 with a .308 SLG, and 1 RBI. Blake is hitting .273 with a .333 OBP, a .273 SLG, and 2 RBIs. While neither team has a strong third baseman, the Dodgers have the better of the two. EDGE: Dodgers
Shortstop: Both teams have their best all-around player at the shortstop position. After playing in just 36 games during the regular season due to injury, Rafael Furcal is finally back in the lineup for the Dodgers. For the Phillies, Jimmy Rollins (.277, 11, 59, .349, .437) is coming off a year in which he played most of the season hurt. However, when healthy, these two players are two of the best shortstops in baseball. Both have been hot in the postseason, with Rollins hitting .375 with a .412 OBP, a .688 SLG, 1 home run, 1 RBI, and 1 stolen base, and Furcal hitting .333 with a .467 OBP, a .333 SLG, and 2 RBIs. Rollins however, is a better fielder, which is really all that separates these two players.
EDGE: Phillies Left Field: Pat Burrell is a very good hitter, but Manny Ramirez is one of the best hit
ters of all-time. Since being traded to LA in midseason, Ramirez hit .396 with a .489 OBP, a .743 SLG, 17 home runs, and 53 RBIs, all in just 53 games. That is just absolutely unreal. For the season Ramirez hit .332 with a .430 OBP, a .601 SLG, 37 home runs, and 121 RBIs. Burrell had a decent year, hitting .250 with a .367 OBP, a .507 SLG, 33 home runs, and 86 RBIs. In the postseason Burrell is hitting .250 with a .357 OBP, a .750 SLG, 2 home runs, and 4 RBIs. Meanwhile, Ramirez has continued to feast on National League pitching, hitting .500 with a .643 OBP, a 1.100 SLG, 2 home runs, and 3 RBIs. On defense, neither is Gold-Glove caliber, but Manny is very underrated defensively and is actually decent in left field.
EDGE: Dodgers
Center Field: This is another area where the Phillies trot out a starter that is very good, and the Dodgers have one with almost equal ability, albeit with much more potential. Philadelphia centerfielder Shane Victorino does everything very well. He hit .293 with a .352 OBP, a .447 SLG, 14 home runs, and 58 RBIs this year, all while swiping 36 bases. Victorino is also an excellent defender and has had a monster postseason, hitting .357 with 1 home run and 5 RBIs. However, Los Angeles centerfielder Matt Kemp does everything just as well. The talented 23-year old hit .290 with a .340 OBP, a .440 SLG, 18 home runs, and 76 RBIs, while stealing 35 bases. Kemp is also an excellent defender, but unlike Victorino, Kemp has struggled this postseason, hitting just .154 with 1 RBI and 5 strikeouts in just 13 at-bats. If I were starting a franchise, I would take Kemp over Victorino, but right now Victorino is playing much better. EDGE: Phillies
Right Field: The Phillies once again trot out a good player at this position, however, Andre Ethier of the Dodgers is having a better year and has been extremely hot since Manny came to LA. Jayson Werth hit .273 with 24 homers, 67 RBIs, a .363 OBP, a .498 SLG this season for the Phillies. Werth has hit very well in the playoffs for the Phillies, with a .313 average, 1 home run, 1 RBI, and 1 stolen base. Ethier though, has struggled in the playoffs. He still had a better year and is the better hitter, as he hit .305 with 20 home runs, 77 RBIs, a .375 OBP, and a .510 SLG in the regular season. EDGE: Dodgers
Starting Pitching: Four starters will be throwing for each team in this series, and in terms of depth, the Phillies have the better staff. Cole Hamels (14-10, 3.09) is one of the best lefties in baseball. He is followed by the talented Brett Myers (10-13, 4.55) and Joe Blanton (9-12, 4.69). 45-year old Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71) is an excellent fourth starter for the Phillies, as he gives them another lefty in the rotation. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have Chad Billingsley (16-10, 3.14), who is one of the best young pitchers in all of baseball. Derek Lowe (14-11, 3.24), a very reliable pitcher, especially in the playoffs, will start Game 1 for the Dodgers Thursday. However, behind him, the Dodgers are a little shaky. Hiroki Kuroda (9-10, 3.73) can be very erratic at times and future Hall of Famer Greg Maddux (8-13, 4.23) has certainly seen better days. While the pitching matchups will be equal in Games 1 and 2, in Games 3 and 4 the Phillies will have the advantage with their better depth in the rotation.
EDGE: Phillies
Bullpen: Both of these teams have dominant bullpens. The Phillies trot out set-up men Chad Durbin (5-4, 2.87, 17 holds), J.C. Romero (4-4, 2.75, 24 holds), and Ryan Madsen (4-2, 3.05, 17 holds) before they hand the ball to one of baseball's most electric closers in Brad Lidge (2-0, 1.95, 41 saves). The Dodgers though, have better depth in their bullpen. Joe Beimel (5-1, 2.02, 12 holds), Cory Wade (2-1, 2.27, 9 holds), and Chan Ho Park (4-4, 3.40, 5 holds) have all been excellent for Joe Torre throughout the season. Takashi Saito (4-4, 2.18, 18 saves) and Jonathan Broxton (3-5, 3.13, 14 saves) have each been very effective when handling the closer's role this season. Look for Broxton to be the Dodgers closer in this series, which moves Saito in a set-up role, where he can completely shut the door in the 8th inning. EDGE: Dodgers
Overall, each team is tied with five edges apiece, a sign of a very enteraining and exciting series coming up. PREDICTION: Phillies in 6